Statistical_significance Statistical_significance

Statistical significance - Definition and Overview

Related Words: Authority, Bearing, Concern, Connotation, Consequence, Consideration, Content, Credit, Denotation, Drift, Effect, Elevation, Eminence, Emphasis, Essence

In statistics, a result is significant if it is unlikely to have occurred by chance, given that a presumed null hypothesis is true, but is not improbable if the null hypothesis is false.

More precisely, in traditional frequentist statistical hypothesis testing, the significance level of a test is the maximum probability of accidentally rejecting a true null hypothesis (a decision known as a Type I error). The significance of a result is also called its p-value.

For example, one may choose a significance level of, say, 5%, and calculate a critical value of a statistic (such as the mean) so that the probability of it exceeding that value, given the truth of the null hypothesis, would be 5%. If the actual, calculated statistic value exceeds the critical value, then it is significant "at the 5% level".

If the significance level is smaller, a value will be less likely to be more extreme than the critical value. So a result which is "significant at the 1% level" is more significant than a result which is "significant at the 5% level". However a test at the 1% level is more likely to have a Type II error than a test at the 5% level, and so will have less statistical power. In devising a hypothesis test, the tester will aim to maximize power for a given significance, but ultimately have to recognise that the best which can be achieved is likely to be a balance between significance and power, in other words between the risks of Type I and Type II errors.

Copyright 2009 WordIQ.com - Privacy Policy  :: Terms of Use  :: Contact Us  :: About Us
This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the this Wikipedia article.